Publications          

If you have any trouble accessing my papers, please send me an email requesting the article you would like to read.

Google Scholar Citations

[ 2005-2009 | 2010- | Submitted | Edited volume | PhD Thesis | Article for school magazine ]

Submitted

Black, A. and Ross, J.V. Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data.

Bean, N.G., Eshragh, A. and Ross, J.V. Fisher Information for a partially-observed simple birth process.

Bean, N.G., Elliott, R.J., Eshragh, A. and Ross, J.V. On binomial observation of a continuous-time Markov chain.

Fully-refereed Journal Articles

2010 -

[30] Pagendam, D.E. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Optimal use of GPS transmitter for estimating species migration rate. Ecological Modelling 249, 37-41.
[Article]

[29] McKinley, T.J., Ross, J.V., Deardon, R. and Cook, A.R. (2013) Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis.
[Article]

[28] House, T., Ross, J.V. and Sirl, D. (2013) How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final size calculation. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences 469, 20120436.
[Article | Supplementary Code | SourceForge EpiStruct Project Code]

[27] Black, A., House, T., Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10, 20121019.
[Article | SourceForge EpiStruct Project Code]

[26] Ross, J.V. (2012) On parameter estimation in population models III: Time-inhomogeneous processes and observation error. Theoretical Population Biology 82, 1-17.
[Article]

[25] House, T., Inglis, N., Ross, J.V., Wilson, F., Suleman, S., Edeghere, O., Smith, G., Olowokure, B. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine 10:117.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar | See also a Commentary on the paper]

[News reports: ABC Radio National 1pm News Bulletin on 9/10/12; The Advertiser "Research does the maths on flu spread" (pdf; page 15) on 10/10/12; several Australian newspapers' online sites via AAP, "New test to help combat outbreaks of flu", for example in The Australian, Courier Mail, Daily Telegraph, Perth Now, Adelaide Now, SBS, Sky News on 9/10/12; Health Canal and University of Adelaide news, "Maths to help manage flu pandemics", on 9/10/12]
[Blogs: Several blogs, for example Scienceomega, "Fighting pandemics with mathematics", and Decoded Science, "H1N1 in Households, or the Math of Spreading Swine Flu"]

[24] Binder, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Simpson, M.J. (2012) A hybrid model for studying spatial aspects of infectious diseases. ANZIAM Journal (in press).
[Article]
Special issue on Mathematical Biology.

[23] Ross, J.V. (2011) Invasion of infectious diseases in finite, homogeneous populations. Journal of Theoretical Biology 289, 83-89.
[Article]

[22] Spence, L.A., Ross, J.V., Wiser, S.K., Allen, R.B. and Coomes, D.A. (2011) Disturbance affects short-term facilitation, but not long-term saturation, of exotic plant invasion in New Zealand forest. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278, 1457-1466.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[21] Leon Danon, Ashley Ford, Thomas House, Chris Jewell, Matt Keeling, Gareth Roberts, Joshua Ross and Matthew C. Vernon (2011) Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]
Invited review for special issue "Network Perspectives on Infectious Disease Dynamics".

[20] Conlan, A.J.K., Eames, K.T.D., Gage, J., von Kirchbach, J., Ross, J.V., Saenz, R. and Gog, J. (2011) Measuring social networks in British primary schools through scientific engagement. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278, 1467-1475.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[19] Ross, J.V. (2010) Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: Spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology 262, 14-22.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[18] Ross, J.V., House, T. and Keeling, M.J. (2010) Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households. PLoS ONE 5(3): e9666.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar | SourceForge EpiStruct Project Code]

[17] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2010) Simple rules for ranking and optimally managing metapopulations. Ecological Modelling 221, 2515-2520.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[16] Pollett, P.K., Dooley, A.H. and Ross, J.V. (2010) Modelling population processes with random initial conditions. Mathematical Biosciences 223, 142-150.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

2005 - 2009

[15] Ross, J.V. (2009) A note on density dependence in population models. Ecological Modelling 220, 3472-3474.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[14] Ross, J.V., Pagendam, D.E. and Pollett, P.K. (2009) On parameter estimation in population models II: multi-dimensional processes and transient dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 75, 123-132.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[13] Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2009) Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 75, 133-141.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]
F1000 Recommended.

[12] Dangerfield, C.E., Ross, J.V. and Keeling, M.J. (2009) Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 6, 761-774.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[11] Ross, J.V., Sirl, D.J., Pollett, P.K. and Possingham, H.P. (2008) Metapopulation persistence in a dynamic landscape: more habitat or better stewardship? Ecological Applications 18, 590-598.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[10] Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2008) On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 5, 171-181.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[9] Wagner, L.D., Ross, J.V. and Possingham, H.P. (2007) Catastrophe management and inter-reserve distance for marine reserve networks. Ecological Modelling 201, 82-88.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[8] Ross, J.V., Taimre, T. and Pollett, P.K. (2007) Estimation for queues from queue length data. Queueing Systems 55, 131-138.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[7] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2007) On costs and decisions in population management. Ecological Modelling 201, 60-66.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[6] Cairns, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2007) A comparison of models for predicting population persistence. Ecological Modelling 201, 19-26.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[5] Ross, J.V., Taimre, T. and Pollett, P.K. (2006) On parameter estimation in population models. Theoretical Population Biology 70, 498-510.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[4] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2006) Extinction times for a birth-death process with two phases. Mathematical Biosciences 202, 310-322.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[3] Ross, J.V. (2006) Comment on ''On the Regulation of Populations of Mammals, Birds, Fish, and Insects'' II. Science 311, 1100.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[2] Ross, J.V. (2006) Stochastic models for mainland-island metapopulations in static and dynamic landscapes. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 68, 417-449.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

[1] Ross, J.V. (2006) A stochastic metapopulation model accounting for habitat dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology 52, 788-806.
[Article | Articles Citing via Google Scholar]

Conference Proceedings

[5] Pagendam, D.E. and Ross, J.V. (2011) Optimal GPS tracking for estimating species movements. In (Eds F. Chan and D. Marinova) Proceedings of MODSIM11 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2011.

[4] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2009) Rules of thumb for metapopulation management. In (Eds R.S. Anderssen, R.D. Braddock and L.T.H. Newham) Proceedings of the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, July 2009, pp. 1795-1801.

[3] Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2007) On the analysis of hospital infection data using Markov models. In (Eds Don Kulasiri and Les Oxley) Proceedings of the 17th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2007, pp. 2939-2945.

[2] Pollett, P.K. and Ross, J.V. (2005) Costs and decisions in population management: koalas on Kangaroo Island. In (Eds Robert Argent and Andre Zerger) Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM05), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2005, pp. 2082-2088.

[1] Cairns, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2005) Models for predicting extinction times: shall we dance (or walk or jump)? In (Eds Robert Argent and Andre Zerger) Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM05), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2005, pp. 2061-2067.

Edited volumes

[2] Bean, N.G., Pollett, P.K., Ross, J.V. and Taylor, P.G. (2013) Special issue on modelling and decision making in ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 249.
[Preface | Issue]

[1] Pollett, P.K. and Ross, J.V. (2007) Management, control and decision making for ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 201 (1).
[Editorial | Issue] Print ISSN: 0304-3800.

PhD Thesis

[1] Ross, J.V. (2007) Density dependent Markov population processes: models and methodology. Department of Mathematics, The University of Queensland.

Article for school magazine & blogs

[2] Black, A.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) The Mathematics of Immunisation Targets.

[1] Ross, J.V. (2006) Protect or create? Infinity 21.
[Article (pdf) | Article (online version)]