Dr Joshua Ross: Publications


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Google Scholar Citations

[ 2006-2009 | 2010-2014 | Submitted ]
[ Edited volume | PhD Thesis | Outreach Communication ]

Submitted


Bean, N.G., Eshragh, A. and Ross, J.V. Fisher Information for a partially-observed simple birth process.

Black, A.J., House, T., Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics.

Black, A.J. and Ross, J.V. Computation of epidemic final size distributions.

Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. Optimal prophylactic vaccination in segregated populations: can we improve on the equalising strategy?

Robinson, S.J., Bean, N.G., Ross, J.V., Thompson, R.M. and Bjornsson, K.T. Statistical description of wetland hydrological connectivity to the River Murray in South Australia under natural and regulated conditions.

Ross, J.V. and Binder, B.J. Approximating spatially-exclusive invasion processes.

Ross, J.V. and Black, A.J. Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: The probability of a major outbreak.

Teo, M., Bean, N.G. and Ross, J.V. On sensitivity and uncertainty analysis for the Markovian SIR epidemic model.



Fully-Refereed Journal Articles


2010 - 2014


[33] McKinley, T.J., Ross, J.V., Deardon, R. and Cook, A.R. (2014) Simulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 71, 434-447.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[32] Davies, K.J., Green, J.E.F., Bean, N.G., Binder, B.J. and Ross, J.V. (2014) On the derivation of approximations to cellular automata models and the assumption of independence. Mathematical Biosciences (to appear).

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[31] Bean, N.G., Elliott, R.J., Eshragh, A. and Ross, J.V. (2014) On binomial observation of continuous-time Markovian population models. Journal of Applied Probability (to appear).

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[30] Pagendam, D.E. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Optimal use of GPS transmitter for estimating species migration rate. Ecological Modelling 249, 37-41.

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[29] House, T., Ross, J.V. and Sirl, D. (2013) How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final size calculation. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences 469, 20120436.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar | Supplementary Code | EpiStruct Code]


[28] Black, A. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemic. PLoS ONE 8(8): e73420.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[27] Black, A., House, T., Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10, 20121019.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar | EpiStruct Code]


[26] Ross, J.V. (2012) On parameter estimation in population models III: Time-inhomogeneous processes and observation error. Theoretical Population Biology 82, 1-17.

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[25] House, T., Inglis, N., Ross, J.V., Wilson, F., Suleman, S., Edeghere, O., Smith, G., Olowokure, B. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine 10:117.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar | See also a Commentary on the paper]


[24] Binder, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Simpson, M.J. (2012) A hybrid model for studying spatial aspects of infectious diseases. ANZIAM Journal 54, 37-49.

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Special issue on Mathematical Biology.


[23] Ross, J.V. (2011) Invasion of infectious diseases in finite, homogeneous populations. Journal of Theoretical Biology 289, 83-89.

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[22] Spence, L.A., Ross, J.V., Wiser, S.K., Allen, R.B. and Coomes, D.A. (2011) Disturbance affects short-term facilitation, but not long-term saturation, of exotic plant invasion in New Zealand forest. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278, 1457-1466.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[21] Leon Danon, Ashley Ford, Thomas House, Chris Jewell, Matt Keeling, Gareth Roberts, Joshua Ross and Matthew C. Vernon (2011) Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases.

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Invited review for special issue "Network Perspectives on Infectious Disease Dynamics".


[20] Conlan, A.J.K., Eames, K.T.D., Gage, J., von Kirchbach, J., Ross, J.V., Saenz, R. and Gog, J. (2011) Measuring social networks in British primary schools through scientific engagement. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 278, 1467-1475.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[19] Ross, J.V. (2010) Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: Spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology 262, 14-22.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[18] Ross, J.V., House, T. and Keeling, M.J. (2010) Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households. PLoS ONE 5(3): e9666.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar | EpiStruct Code]


[17] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2010) Simple rules for ranking and optimally managing metapopulations. Ecological Modelling 221, 2515-2520.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[16] Pollett, P.K., Dooley, A.H. and Ross, J.V. (2010) Modelling population processes with random initial conditions. Mathematical Biosciences 223, 142-150.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]



2006 - 2009


[15] Ross, J.V. (2009) A note on density dependence in population models. Ecological Modelling 220, 3472-3474.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[14] Ross, J.V., Pagendam, D.E. and Pollett, P.K. (2009) On parameter estimation in population models II: multi-dimensional processes and transient dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 75, 123-132.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[13] Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2009) Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology 75, 133-141.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]
F1000 Recommended.


[12] Dangerfield, C.E., Ross, J.V. and Keeling, M.J. (2009) Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 6, 761-774.

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[11] Ross, J.V., Sirl, D.J., Pollett, P.K. and Possingham, H.P. (2008) Metapopulation persistence in a dynamic landscape: more habitat or better stewardship? Ecological Applications 18, 590-598.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[10] Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J.V. (2008) On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 5, 171-181.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[9] Wagner, L.D., Ross, J.V. and Possingham, H.P. (2007) Catastrophe management and inter-reserve distance for marine reserve networks. Ecological Modelling 201, 82-88.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[8] Ross, J.V., Taimre, T. and Pollett, P.K. (2007) Estimation for queues from queue length data. Queueing Systems 55, 131-138.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[7] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2007) On costs and decisions in population management. Ecological Modelling 201, 60-66.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[6] Cairns, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2007) A comparison of models for predicting population persistence. Ecological Modelling 201, 19-26.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[5] Ross, J.V., Taimre, T. and Pollett, P.K. (2006) On parameter estimation in population models. Theoretical Population Biology 70, 498-510.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]


[4] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2006) Extinction times for a birth-death process with two phases. Mathematical Biosciences 202, 310-322.

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[3] Ross, J.V. (2006) Comment on ''On the Regulation of Populations of Mammals, Birds, Fish, and Insects'' II. Science 311, 1100.

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[2] Ross, J.V. (2006) Stochastic models for mainland-island metapopulations in static and dynamic landscapes. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 68, 417-449.

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[1] Ross, J.V. (2006) A stochastic metapopulation model accounting for habitat dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology 52, 788-806.

[Articles Citing via Google Scholar]



Conference Proceedings


[5] Pagendam, D.E. and Ross, J.V. (2011) Optimal GPS tracking for estimating species movements. In (Eds F. Chan and D. Marinova) Proceedings of MODSIM11 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2011.


[4] Ross, J.V. and Pollett, P.K. (2009) Rules of thumb for metapopulation management. In (Eds R.S. Anderssen, R.D. Braddock and L.T.H. Newham) Proceedings of the 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, July 2009, pp. 1795-1801.


[3] Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2007) On the analysis of hospital infection data using Markov models. In (Eds Don Kulasiri and Les Oxley) Proceedings of the 17th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM07), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2007, pp. 2939-2945.


[2] Pollett, P.K. and Ross, J.V. (2005) Costs and decisions in population management: koalas on Kangaroo Island. In (Eds Robert Argent and Andre Zerger) Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM05), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2005, pp. 2082-2088.


[1] Cairns, B.J., Ross, J.V. and Taimre, T. (2005) Models for predicting extinction times: shall we dance (or walk or jump)? In (Eds Robert Argent and Andre Zerger) Proceedings of the 16th Biennial Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM05), Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2005, pp. 2061-2067.



Edited volumes

[2] Bean, N.G., Pollett, P.K., Ross, J.V. and Taylor, P.G. (2013) Special issue on modelling and decision making in ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 249.

[Preface | Issue]


[1] Pollett, P.K. and Ross, J.V. (2007) Management, control and decision making for ecological systems. Ecological Modelling 201 (1).

[Editorial | Issue] Print ISSN: 0304-3800.




PhD Thesis

[1] Ross, J.V. (2007) Density dependent Markov population processes: models and methodology. Department of Mathematics, The University of Queensland.



Outreach Communication

[4] Black, A.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Predicting the Period of Epidemic Outbreaks II.

[3] Black, A.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) Predicting the Period of Epidemic Outbreaks I.

[2] Black, A.J. and Ross, J.V. (2013) The Mathematics of Immunisation Targets.

[1] Ross, J.V. (2006) Protect or create? Infinity 21.
[Article (pdf) | Article (online version)]